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[理论与策略] 易利达汇评:欧元上涨乏力

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发表于 2014-3-18 10:13:52 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
欧元上涨乏力
基本面
周一公布了欧元区2月消费者物价指数,这是本周最重要的数据之一。不过数据令那些希望通胀有所上升的投资者失望了:欧盟统计局(Eurostat)公布的数据显示,欧元区2月消费者物价指数(CPI)终值年率增长0.7%,预期和初值增长0.8%,而1月终值亦录得0.8%的增幅。该数据应该重新引发市场对降息的推测——或者某种非常规宽松措施的形式.通胀数据已经成为欧元区的必看数据,上周德拉基声称通胀将不会出现很大变化。德拉基称他担忧强势欧元可能破坏欧元区脆弱的经济,并拉低通胀。德拉基愿意加大刺激力度以对抗通缩压力——至少市面上流传这样的消息。美国总统奥巴马周一(3月17日)表示美国准备就乌克兰克里米亚问题向俄罗斯实施进一步制裁,但是目前仍有通过外交努力解决乌克兰危机局势的途径.此前,美国宣布向21名俄罗斯人和乌克兰人实施签证禁令和冻结其资产。被制裁官员包括俄罗斯副总理ROGOZIN、克里米亚领导人AKSYONOV以及俄罗斯国家杜马成员,
易利达市场认为,欧元的汇价和其经济预期不相符合,而汇价迭创新高对欧元的经济增长复苏极为不利,在欧元上冲1.4000将会是做空欧元的最好时机
技术面:
欧元在4小时图上出现了背离,欧元的上涨动力有所减弱,1.3950-80位置将会成为欧元的压力,而1.3720将会给欧元有力的支撑,投资者可以在这个区间做操作
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发表于 2014-4-25 04:07:15 | 显示全部楼层

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发表于 2016-10-28 22:30:54 | 显示全部楼层
现在确实能够观察到欧元有些许的下降,但是我认为这种情况不会持续很久。我觉得,欧元应该马上就会出现上涨。
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