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波段交易者的20条军规 20 RULES FOR THE MASTER SWING TRADER

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发表于 2009-1-9 13:40:46 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
波段交易者的20条军规 20 RULES FOR THE MASTER SWING TRADER(完)
(我答应给Paradise翻译这一段英文已经有一周时间了,可是看过内容后,我很犹豫,因为我坚决反对这样的交易方法;能够在以下的短线波段交易中获利的人,其亏损一定也不会少了。今天圣诞,在家无事,翻译出来给大家看看,但是不表示我推荐进行这样的波段操作,请大家时刻把亏损和风险放在心中。)

By Alan Farley
Last Updated:  Jan. 2, 2002


Swing trading can be a great way to profit from market upswings and downswings, but as I’ve always said, it’s not easy.  Mastering the swing-trading techniques takes  and effort.  To help get you started, I am giving you 20 Rules to think about as you begin – and ultimately master – swing trading.

波段交易*是在市场上升/下降波段中获取利益的最好的一种方法之一,但是如我常言,它不是那么容易。掌握波段交易的技巧需要时间和努力。为了帮助大家起步,我给出了20条交易规则,以最大的机会帮助大家掌握波段交易。

Rule 1:  If you have to look, it isn’t there.

Forget your college degree and trust your instincts. The best trades jump out of nowhere and create a sense of urgency. Take a deep breath, then act quickly before the opportunity disappears.

规则一:如果你必须看,它在你看不见的地方 (NND,什么意思吗,调戏我?!)

忘记你的大学学历,相信你的本能。除了你突发的灵感,最好的交易不可能来自于任何地方。深呼吸,在机会消失前迅速行动。

Rule 2: Trends depend on their  frame.Make sure your trade fits the clock. Price movement aligns to specific cycles. Success depends on trading the right ones.

规则二:趋势是有时间限制的。确定你的交易符合这个时间阶段。价格变化只适用于这个特定的时间段。成功必须建立在你选择了正确的时间段。

Rule 3: Price has memory.What happened the last time a stock hit a certain level? Chances are it will happen again. Watch trades closely when price returns to a battleground. The prior action can predict the future.

规则三:价格是有记忆的。上一次价格突破到一个层面后发生了什么?机会会再次在这里产生。当价格回到密集交易区时,紧密地观察交易。上一次的变动就是未来的变动。

Rule 4: Profit and discomfort stand side by side.
Find the setupthat scares you the most. That's the one you need to trade. Don'texpect it to feel good until you take your profit. If it did, everyoneelse would be trading it. Wisdom from the East:What at first bringspleasure in the end gives only pain, but what at first causes pain endsup in great pleasure.

规则四:利润和亏损就紧紧的站在一起
找到最令你惊恐的东西。 那个就是你需要进行交易的交易点。直到你获得利润前,不要期望你会找到感觉更舒服的交易点。如果这样,其它每个人都会去进行交易。东方的智者:那些先带给你快乐的东西最终只会留给你痛苦,但是一开始就痛苦是的事情,结果往往是快乐。

Rule 5: Stand apart from the crowd at all times.

Trade ahead,behind or contrary to the crowd. Be the first in and out of the profitdoor. Your job is to take their money before they take yours. Be readyto pounce on ill-advised decisions, poor judgment and bad timing. Yoursuccess depends on the misfortune of others.


规则五:永远站在距离拥挤的人群比较远的地方。
和大多数人比,在他们之前、之后或者反向进行交易。做第一个打开利润之门的人。你的工作是去抢他们的钱,在他们抢你之前。做好功课,远离错误的建议、失误的判断和糟糕的时机。你的成功建立在别人的错误(不幸)之上。

Rule 6: Buy the first pullback from a new high. Sell the first pullback from a new low.
Trends often test the last support/resistance before taking off. Trade with the crowd that missed the boat the first time around.

规则六:在创新高的价格第一次回撤时买入,在价格创新低第一次反弹的时候沽空
交易者习惯于测试支持/阻力位。和这些交易者相伴会让你错过第一时间乘上通向财富之门的船。

Rule 7: Buy at support. Sell at resistance.
Trend has only two choices upon reaching a barrier: Continue forward or reverse. Get it right and start counting your money.

规则七:在支撑位买入,在阻力位沽空(这不是和第六条抵触的吗?)
趋势在到达一个障碍的时候只有两个选择,突破或者掉头。做正确的事然后开始数钱。


Rule 8: Short rallies, not selloffs.
Shorts profit when marketsdrop, so they start to cover. This makes it a terrible time to enternew short sales. Wait until they get squeezed and shaken out, then jumpin while no one is watching.

规则八:短暂的等待,而不是平仓
市场波动的时候利润缩减/亏损,他们(指其它交易者)开始反扑了。这对短线新手来说是一个恐怖的时间。等待,直到他们利润缩减和动摇立场,然后你就可以在没人的地方欢呼雀跃!

Rule 9: Manage time as efficiently as price.
Time is money in the markets. Profit relates to the amount of time set aside for analysis. Know your holding period for every trade. And watch the clock to become a market survivor.


规则九:管理好时间,和关注价格一样有效
在市场上,时间就是金钱。利润和你浪费在分析上的时间紧密相关。熟知你每个交易的持仓时间,看着时钟使你成为一个市场幸存者。

Rule 10: Avoid the open.
They see you coming, sucker.

规则十:保持神秘
否则他们知道你来了,你这个弱智!

Rule 11: Trades that work in hot markets destroy accounts in cool ones.
Stocks trend only 15% to 20% of the time. Price ranges cause grief to momentum traders the rest of the time.

规则十一:在活跃市中交易赚钱,在牛皮市中交易爆仓
维持股票(货币对)的趋势只占15%到20%的总交易时间。在剩余的时间里交易是交易者失败的重要因素。

Rule 12: The best trades show major convergence.
Watch for the bull's eye. Look for a single point in price and time that points repeatedly to a trade entry. The market is trying to tell you something.

规则十二:一个最好的交易体现出最主要的获利
看着公牛的眼睛。找出一个唯一的价格点和唯一的时间,这些重复出现的点就是入场交易点。市场在试图告诉你一些事情。

Rule 13: Don't confuse execution with opportunity.
Save Donkey Kong for the weekend. Pretty colors and fast fingers don't make successful careers. Understanding price behavior and market mechanics does. Learn what a good trade looks like before falling in love with the software.

规则十三:不要在机会面前迷茫
保存Donkey Kong(谁知道什么是Donkey Kong?)给周末。漂亮的颜色和灵活的手指不会给你创造成功的职业生涯。理解市场行为和结构,在沉迷于软件之前学会什么是一个好的交易者。

Rule 14: Control risk before seeking reward.
Wear your market chastity belt at all times. Attention to profit is a sign of immaturity, while attention to loss is a sign of experience. The markets have no intention of offering money to those who do not earn it.


规则十四:获利之前先学会控制风险
永远带上这个市场的贞操带(带上控制风险这个紧箍咒)。只关注利润是一个不成熟的标志,而关注风险控制是一个专家的标志。市场没有给不称职的人发钱的意图。

Rule 15: Big losses rarely come without warning.
You have no one to blame but yourself. The chart told you to leave, the news told you to leave and your mother told you to leave. Learn to visualize trouble and head for safety with only a few bars of information.


规则十五:巨大损失很少会没有先兆的
除了你自己,没有任何人可以责怪。图表已经告诉你离场,新闻告诉你离场,你妈妈告诉你离场。学会把风险形象化,用很少的信号你就能走向安全区。

Rule 16: Bulls live above the 200-day moving average, bears live below.
Are you flying with the birds or swimming with the fishes? The 200-day moving average divides the investing world in two. Bulls and greed live above the 200-day, while bears and fear live below. Sellers eat up rallies below this line and buyers come to the rescue above it.

规则十六:200天均线-牛熊的分界线
随鸟儿飞翔还是随鱼儿游?200天均线上下是投资世界两重天。牛市和贪婪出没于200天均线之上,而熊市和恐惧居于其下。卖方从200天均线往下打压,而当价格高于200天均线的时候,就是买方涌入的时候。(抄袭自法妖的翻译!谢)

Rule 17:  Enter in mild times, exit in wild times.
The big move hides beyond the extremes of price congestion. Don’t count on the agitated crowd for your trading signals. It’s usually way too late by the time they act.

规则十七:在合适的时机入场,在任何时间离场。
大波动隐藏在牛皮的行情中。别指望喧嚣的人群(指其他交易者)给你交易的信号。他们通常动手都太晚了。

Rule 18: Perfect patterns carry the greatest risk for failure.
Demand warts and bruises on your trade setups. Market mechanics work to defeat the majority when everyone sees the same thing at the same time. When perfection appears, look for the failure signal.

规则十八:漂亮的图形带给你最大的损失
要知道你的交易计划有瑕疵和失误。市场机制就是要击败大多数人,当他们在同一时间看同一个方向时。当完美的图形出现的时候,也是亏损风险出现的时候。

Rule 19: Trends rarely turn on a dime.
Reversals build slowly. Investors are as stubborn as mules and take a lot of pain before they admit defeat.

规则十九:大趋势不会在小弄堂转弯。
逆转是逐步进行的。投资者倔强的像一头骡子,在承认失败前会遭受很多的痛苦。

Rule 20: See the exit door before the trade.
Assume the market will reverse the minute you get filled. You're in very big trouble when it's a long way to the door. Never toss a coin in the fountain and hope your dreams will come true.

规则二十:交易入场前,先找到出场的门。
假设市场将在你满仓入场后一分钟逆转了。如果你距离出口太原,那么你将遇到巨大的麻烦。永远不要在喷泉中投掷一枚硬币然后希望你的梦想变成现实。


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发表于 2017-4-1 16:44:19 | 显示全部楼层
支持一下吧,确实是不错的贴子。
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发表于 2017-5-19 12:32:32 | 显示全部楼层
难得好贴,赞一个,继续努力啊
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